Washington Nationals (50-61) vs Milwaukee Brewers (62-48)
Game Info: Sunday, August 4, 2024 at 1:35 pm (Nationals Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +115 / Milwaukee Brewers -135 — Over/Under: 9.5
In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 4th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:
- The Brewers recent form and recent player performance
- The Nationals recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington
- Recent betting trends in games played between Milwaukee and Washington
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Milwaukee and Washington
Brewers Pitching Needs More Consistency
The Milwaukee Brewers are 62-48 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Milwaukee won game one in this series by a score of 8-3, but they lost game two on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Braves, lost two out of three against the Marlins, and won two out of three against the Cubs. Milwaukee is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are first in the NL Central.
The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 521 runs with a .254 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .248 with 17 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee has allowed at least five runs in five of their last eight games.
Nationals Snapped Their Losing Streak
The Washington Nationals are 50-61 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Washington lost game one in this series and they allowed eight runs in the game, but they bounced back with a 6-4 win in game two. Prior to this series, the Nationals lost all three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Cardinals, and lost all three against the Padres. Washington is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL East.
The Washington pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 471 runs with a .242 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .253 with 16 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington has allowed at least five runs in four of their last five games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Tobias Myers, who is 6-4 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 81.1 innings pitched this year. Myers has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last three starts (17.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 5-6 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 100.1 innings pitched this season. Parker has allowed at least five earned runs in three of his last five starts.
Why the Brewers will beat the Nationals
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven Sunday day games.
- The Nationals have lost six of their last seven games at Nationals Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday day games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Brewers at Nationals Park following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last 10 games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five day games against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances at Nationals Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Brewers.
- Luis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last six games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded a hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games against NL opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven Sunday day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this game with a chance to win the series, but they don’t play their best baseball on the road and their pitching staff has had some issues recently. The Brewers are 31-27 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 24-28 at home. Washington was able to get a win that they desperately needed on Saturday, but they have played poorly over the last few weeks. The Nats are starting Mitchell Parker, who has not been very good over his last five starts. The Brewers are going with Tobias Myers, who has been dominant over his last three outings. Milwaukee is the much better team in this matchup and they have the pitching advantage, so my Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals prediction is for the Brewers to win.