| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 17-14 | 15-18 |
| Spread | -1.5 129 | +1.5 -156 |
| Moneyline | -136 | +113 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 (-115) |
| Where | Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia | |
| When | Saturday, May 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, May 2nd in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 15-18 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 3-11 home record and are coming off a 1-6 loss at home against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 5-4 win and a 14-2 win, and an 0-8 loss on the road against the Mets.
The Nationals have a .239 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.01 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 26. James Wood adds a team‑high 10 home runs.
Foster Griffin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 3-0 record, 2.67 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 17-14 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL Central. They have a 7-6 away record and are coming off a 6-1 win on the road against the Nationals. Their previous three games were a 13-1 win, a 2-6 loss and a 13-2 win at home against the Diamondbacks.
The Brewers have a .243 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .364 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .310 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 23. Gary Sanchez adds a team‑high 5 home runs.
Kyle Harrison (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 2-1 record, 2.28 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: May 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Foster Griffin Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 2.67
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-0
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Harrison Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 2.28
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Nationals: 0-2
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Brewers and Nationals.
- The Nationals have lost six of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Brewers and Nationals.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Nationals.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the last 15 games between the Brewers and Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six games at Nationals Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games against National League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances against the Brewers.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Brice Turang ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.421) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (52).
- The Nationals rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (176).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (38).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for walks this season (147).
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction
The Nationals are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Brewers but the Brewers have won their last four visits in Washington.
In this Brewers vs Nationals Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -136 road favorites. The Brewers won the opening game comfortably but both pitchers have been excellent today with a combined 4.75 ERA and both coming off shutout starts. In the previous meeting this season between those two teams where those two pitchers started, both teams combined for just four total runs, Milwaukee has a top-10 bullpen, so this shapes up as a low-scoring affair. Take the under 7.5 runs in this one.