Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/10/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 10th at the Globe Life Field in the third game of this series, with the Rangers having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 76-70 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 46-28 home record and are 64-79 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-4 home victory over the Brewers, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games and are playing the Astros and the Mets next.

The Rangers have a .237 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .387 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 116 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .254 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 73, while Corey Seager adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 11-7 record, 3.16 ERA and 1.04 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have an 89-57 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL Central. They have a 43-31 record and are 69-72 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-5 road defeat by the Rangers, and have back-to-back losses. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games and are playing the Cardinals and the Angels next.

The Brewers have a .260 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .408 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 152 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 93, adding a team-high 27 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average.

Freddy Peralta (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 16-5 record, 2.50 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 10, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly      Record this season: 11-7      ERA: 3.16
• Home Record: 5-4
• Last 5 against Brewers: 3-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Brewers have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have won eight of the last nine games between the Brewers and Rangers.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Rangers have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta      Record this season: 16-5      ERA: 2.50
• Road Record: 8-4
• Last 5 against Rangers: 1-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Brewers’ last eight day games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the last four games between the Brewers and Rangers at Globe Life Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last five games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six road appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last six road appearances.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Rangers.
• Freddy Peralta ranks T1st in the league for Wins (16) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.44).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (536).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (740).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1289).

Brewers vs Rangers Prediction

The Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 head-to-head meetings against the Rangers, and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Texas. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Texas.

In this Brewers vs Rangers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 road favorites. Freddy Peralta is currently the hottest pitcvher in baseball for the Brewers, as he has five straight shutout starts. Kelly has been excellent for the Rangers, but how can you go up against that? the Brewers have a better offense to offer the red-hot Peralta run support, and I don’t think they will drop a third straight game in this series. Take the Milwaukee Brewers on the moneyline on the road for the bounce-back win.