| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 74-45 | 63-57 |
| Spread | -1.5 139 | +1.5 -168 |
| Moneyline | -116 | +108 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-108) | Under 7.5 (-112) |
| Where | Petco Park, San Diego, California | |
| When | Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 74-45 on the year and play the Mariners and Dodgers next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .252 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 119 hits and 74 RBI, while William Contreras and Jackson Chourio have combined for 209 hits and 106 RBI.
Kyle Harrison gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 9-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Harrison is 2-1 with a 5.57 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 63-57 on the year and play the Guardians and Mets next. The San Diego Padres are batting .236 on the season, have a .312 OBP, and have a .386 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 130 hits and 54 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 202 hits and 131 RBI.
Walker Buehler gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 6-5 with a 5.07 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. Buehler is 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Brewers and Padres at Petco Park.
- The Brewers have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against the Padres following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against the Padres following a road loss.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games following a loss.
- The Padres have lost each of their last six Tuesday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home night games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last three games between the Brewers and Padres at Petco Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last six road games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Padres’ last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last five games at Petco Park.
- Walker Buehler has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with the Padres as underdogs.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 13 Tuesday games.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 9th in the league in Steals (26) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites.
- Kyle Harrison has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
- Jake Bauers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 24th in the league for hits this season (932).
- The Padres rank 23rd in the league for batting average this season (.236).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (492).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.47).
Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Under normal circumstances, the Padres and the plus money would be attractive. The problem is Buehler has been a wreck with a 5.07 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Buehler has allowed 28 earned runs in his last 30.1 innings. Harrison is much more trustworthy with his 2.84 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, and the Brewers have bounced back nicely from losses all season. The price is more than reasonable. Give me the Brewers.