Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 5/24/25 MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

7 months ago

Pittsburgh Pirates (18-34) vs Milwaukee Brewers (25-27)

Game Info: Saturday, May 24, 2025 at 4:05 pm (PNC Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -115 / Milwaukee Brewers -105 — Over/Under: 8.5

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Quinn Priester for the start here and Priester is 1-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Priester’s first career start against the Pirates. Mitch Keller will get the start for the Pirates here and is 1-6 with a 3.88 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Brewers, Keller is 1-3 with a 6.58 ERA and 32 strikeouts.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-5 loss in extra innings to the Pirates to fall to 25-27 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will head home for an interleague series against the Boston Red Sox.

Brewers Looking To Bounce Back

Brice Turang has 51 hits with 4 home runs, 20 RBIs and 13 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 53 hits with a team-high 15 doubles, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 46 hits as well as 3 triples and 9 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 8 stolen bases with 9 homers and 30 RBIs while also adding 4 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 56 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 4 homers and 23 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 45 hits with 7 home runs, 27 RBIs and 9 doubles.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

The Pirates have lost each of their last 11 Saturday games against National League opponents.
The Brewers have won 10 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Pirates.
Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL Central opponents.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four day games.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Jackson Chourio has scored a run in each of the Brewers’ last eight Saturday day games against opponents that held a losing record.
William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against NL opponents.
Rhys Hoskins ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.401) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be out to add on to their win over the Brewers last time out to improve their record to 18-34 this season. After this series, the Pirates will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Pirates Looking To Build Some Steam

Bryan Reynolds has 41 hits with 7 doubles, 6 home runs and 25 RBIs while also leading the Pirates with 60 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 8 home runs and 19 RBIs with 18 stolen bases while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 37 hits with 7 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples as well this season. Tommy Pham has 4 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 35 hits with 7 doubles and KeBryan Hayes has 44 hits with 15 RBIs and 5 stolen bases.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Brewers have lost each of their last eight Saturday games.
The favorites have won each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games following an extra innings loss.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in four of the Pirates’ last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 10 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
Oneil Cruz ranks T1st in the league in Steals (18) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Pirates’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Brewers’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.