| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 59-34 | 47-47 |
| Spread | -1.5 128 | +1.5 -155 |
| Moneyline | -132 | +109 |
| Total | Over 9 (-112) | Under 9 (-107) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Saturday, July 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 47-47 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 24-24 home record and are coming off a 5-10 home loss against the Braves. They will face the Guardians and the Yankees next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .262 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .423 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .310 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 64, adding a team-high 21 home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he has a 3-8 record, 4.82 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 59-34 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 30-16 away record and are coming off a 8-4 road win against the Cardinals. They will face the Marlins and the Mets next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .255 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .281 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 57, adding a team-high 17 home runs.
Shane Drohan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he has a 4-2 record, 2.97 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: July 11, 2026: Game 2
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 3-8 ERA: 4.82
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan Record this season: 4-2 ERA: 2.97
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road day games.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 11 of their last 12 road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have lost four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Pirates.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Pirates.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games at PNC Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last nine Saturday day games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven Saturday day games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 11 Saturday games.
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in four of his five previous appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.310) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Pirates.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Pirates.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (857).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (472).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.33).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (665).
Brewers vs Pirates Game 2 Prediction
The Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Pirates and have won their last three visits in Pittsburgh.
I am with the Brewers in this one, especially since I think that they will lose the first game of the double header against Braxton Ashcraft. Shane Drohan has been the far better pitching option in this matchup for Milwaukee, as he has given up four runs across his last four starts and has been better on the road with a 3-1 record and 2.88 ERA. On the flip side, Bubba Chandler has been in terrible form, having given up 9 runs across his last two starts and has a 4.72 home record. Milwaukee also has a superior bullpen, so I like them to win on the road in this one.