| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-8 | 9-10 |
| Spread | -1.5 149 | +1.5 -181 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -115 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Friday, April 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, April 17th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 9-10 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL East. They have a 7-3 home record and are coming off a 3-6 home loss against the Braves. Their previous three games were a 5-6 road loss and a 10-4 road win to the Braves, and a 2-8 road loss against the Tigers.
The Marlins have a .259 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Xavier Edwards is the team’s best hitter with a .338 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 18, also adding a team‑high 4 home runs.
Janson Junk (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 0-2 record, 4.32 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 10-8 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL Central. They have a 3-3 away record and are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Blue Jays. Their previous three games were a 2-1 home win and a 7-9 home loss to the Blue Jays, and a 6-8 home loss against the Nationals.
The Brewers have a .238 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .380 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .317 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 13, and Gary Sanchez adds a team‑high 5 home runs.
The Brewers have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: April 17, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Janson Junk Record this season: 0-2 ERA: 4.32
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The home team has won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four road games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six night games at LoanDepot Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in six of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Brice Turang ranks T9th in the league in Steals (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (7).
- The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (25).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (27).
- The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (89).
Brewers vs Marlins Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Miami. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Brewers vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -120 home favorites. The Brewers won two straight against the Blue Jays and have just two earned runs in that span, while on the other hand, the Marlins have been struggling with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games. Junk takes the mound for Miami and has given up at least two runs in each of his three starts this season and the Brewers have a better offense and are better against righties. We get the better team for plus money and I will gladly take that gift. Take the Brewers to get the job done on the road in this one.