| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 96-58 | 75-79 |
| Spread | -1.5 128 | +1.5 -155 |
| Moneyline | -132 | +109 |
| Total | Over 8 (-112) | Under 8 (-108) |
| Where | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland | |
| When | Saturday, September 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 75-79 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 36-40 home record and are coming off a 5-6 home loss against the Brewers. They will face the Blue Jays and the Yankees next.
The Baltimore Orioles have a .235 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Pete Alonso is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 105, adding a team-high 38 home runs.
Trevor Rogers (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 10-10 record, 4.22 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 96-58 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 44-32 away record and are coming off a 6-5 road win against the Orioles. They will face the Phillies and the Cardinals next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .259 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 93, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Robert Gasser (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 4-5 record, 4.30 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: September 19, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers Record this season: 10-10 ERA: 4.22
- Home Record: 6-5
- Last 5 against Brewers: 4-0
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against AL opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Gasser Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 4.30
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Orioles: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last four day games against NL opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in eight of their last 10 games against AL opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in 14 of their last 16 Saturday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Brewers’ last 10 road games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 games against AL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances against the Brewers.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven day games.
- Pete Alonso ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (38) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Robert Gasser has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Brewers as road favorites.
- Joey Ortiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1452).
- The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (563).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1360).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
Brewers vs Orioles Prediction
The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Orioles and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Baltimore.
In this Brewers vs Orioles Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -130 road favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both starters have a 4.22+ ERA and even though Gasser has been in good form, he still sits on a 5.01 road ERA. Both offenses have been red-hot lately, scoring 12.5 runs per game combined in their last 10 games and as a result, they are 11-2 to the over in their last 13 games combined. Yesterday’s game had 11 total runs, so take the over 8 in this one.