| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 54-33 | 44-44 |
| Spread | -1.5 129 | +1.5 -155 |
| Moneyline | -125 | +104 |
| Total | Over 9 (-113) | Under 9 (-107) |
| Where | Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona | |
| When | Sunday, July 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 54-33 on the year and play the Pirates and Cardinals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 255 on the season, have a .338 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.36 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 95 hits and 51 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 158 hits and 103 RBI.
Brandon Sproat gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-4 with a 5.28 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. This will be Sproat’s second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 44-44 on the year and play the Padres and Dodgers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 237 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 90 hits and 54 RBI, while Corbin Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 154 hits and 75 RBI.
Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 7-2 with a 2.21 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Rodriguez is 0-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games at Chase Field against National League opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won five of their last six road games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six road games following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight day games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Brewers’ last seven road games against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Ketel Marte has hit a home run in four of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games.
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his 14 previous Sunday appearances in day games with his team as an underdog.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against the Brewers.
- Eduardo Rodriguez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.21) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Mitchell has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games as favorites.
- Brice Turang has recorded two or more hits in each of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
- Brandon Sproat has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (20).
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (636).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (859).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.219).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Sproat is coming off a solid June, but he has a 5.28 ERA and 1.33 WHIP on the season. Those numbers suggest a regression is coming. Rodriguez looks like an all-star through 102 innings, and he’s allowed 27 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 35.2 innings. At home through 60.2 innings, Rodriguez has a 1.78 ERA and a .194 batting average allowed. The Diamondbacks have also played their best ball at home this season. I’ll take the home team with the more consistent pitcher. Give me the Diamondbacks.