| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 54-32 | 43-44 |
| Spread | -1.5 104 | +1.5 -126 |
| Moneyline | -156 | +129 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-103) | Under 9.5 (-117) |
| Where | Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona | |
| When | Saturday, July 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Saturday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 54-32 on the year and play the Pirates and Cardinals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 254 on the season, have a .338 OBP, and have a .396 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 93 hits and 51 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 155 hits and 103 RBI.
Brandon Woodruff gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Woodruff is 3-1 with a 4.65 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 43-44 on the year and play the Padres and Dodgers next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 238 on the season, have a .308 OBP, and have a .384 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 90 hits and 54 RBI, while Corbin Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 154 hits and 75 RBI.
Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 5-8 with a 5.84 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 5-3 with a 3.41 ERA and 61 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Brewers following a home loss.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in 14 of their last 18 games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games at Chase Field against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games following an extra-innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as home underdogs.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last four games as road favorites.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Ketel Marte has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Brewers.
- Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine night games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Mitchell has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as favorites.
- Brice Turang has recorded two or more hits in each of the Brewers’ last five games against the Diamondbacks.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 16 Saturday appearances in night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (20).
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (627).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.35).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.220).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Brewers are the better team, and Woodruff is rolling. He’s allowed 3 hits and 0 runs in his last 13 innings. The Diamondbacks continue to be hit or miss, and Kelly has a 5.84 ERA and 1.53 WHIP on the season. Kelly has allowed 36 hits and 23 runs in his last 28.1 innings. The Diamondbacks have lost 6 straight games Kelly has started. At home through 27.2 innings, Kelly has an 8.13 ERA and a .322 allowed batting average. I have to side with the Brewers and the reasonable price.