Washington Nationals (30-40) vs Miami Marlins (27-41)
Game Info: Sunday, June 15, 2025 at 1:35 pm (Nationals Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Nationals -192 / Miami Marlins +156 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Eury Perez for the start here, and Perez is 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 1-0 with a 2.30 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Washington. MacKenzie Gore will get the start for the Nationals here and is 3-5 with a 2.88 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Gore is 2-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 38 strikeouts.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to build on their 4-3 win over the Nationals from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 27-41 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head home for a division series against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Marlins Win Back-To-Back Games
Xavier Edwards has 56 hits, including 6 doubles and a team-high 11 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 57 hits with 13 doubles. Otto Lopez has 42 hits with 7 doubles and 6 home runs with 24 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 59 hits with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs, and 33 RBIs, but also has 72 strikeouts, while Mervis has 50 K’s as well so far this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last nine day games against the Nationals following a road win.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against the Marlins at Nationals Park following a home loss.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last four games against the Nationals.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last seven road appearances with the Marlins against NL opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Marlins on Saturday to fall to 30-40 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will square off against the Colorado Rockies at home.
Nationals Drop 7th In A Row
Keibert Ruiz has 56 hits with 10 doubles and a pair of home runs with 23 RBIs, while James Wood has 75 hits with 17 doubles and a team-high 17 home runs, along with 49 RBIs and 9 stolen bases while also putting up 82 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 61 hits with 11 doubles and 44 RBIs, along with 9 home runs and 79 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 9 home runs and 22 RBIs along with 14 doubles and 11 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 16 doubles and 7 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Nationals have won four of their last five games against the Marlins following a home loss.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a road win.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Nationals’ last five games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in six of the Nationals’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Paul DeJong has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances at Nationals Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- MacKenzie Gore ranks 2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (114) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last nine day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I get that this isn’t the most attractive game on the board, but Perez is a better pitcher than what he showed in his first start. It was simply rust, I think that can shake off here, given the struggles the Nationals have had as of late. On the other side, I’m not sure I trust Miami against a lefty as they’ve been a hard lineup to stomach against southpaws in the past, and MacKenzie Gore’s been rock solid, especially at home. Give me the under in a low-scoring battle.