| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 43-39 | 42-37 |
| Spread | +1.5 -174 | -1.5 143 |
| Moneyline | +119 | -143 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (-103) |
| Where | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri | |
| When | Saturday, June 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 43-39 on the year and play the Rockies and Athletics next. The Miami Marlins are batting .246 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and have a .389 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 107 hits and 35 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Liam Hicks have combined for 156 hits and 81 RBI.
Ryan Gusto gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. This will be Gusto’s first career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 42-37 on the year and play the Braves and Cubs next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .247 on the season, with a .325 OBP and a .396 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 89 hits and 58 RBI, while Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt have combined for 163 hits and 91 RBI.
Andre Pallante gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 9-4 with a 3.59 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. Pallante is 1-2 with a 2.92 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last three games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Cardinals have won 10 of their last 13 night games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Marlins and Cardinals.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three night games following a road win.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Marlins’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 16 of the Marlins’ last 17 night games at Busch Stadium.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last six night games at Busch Stadium.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 17 games as home favorites.
- Jordan Walker has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs.
Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals have the more trustworthy arm in Pallante, who has been solid with a 3.59 ERA and 1.19 WHIP through 82.2 innings. Gusto is still trying to find a place in the bigs, and he’s been tagged through 18 innings this season. However, as I’ve said a lot this season, the Marlins are a fiesty team that continues to win and cash tickets. This is a good team on the rise, and their confidence is growing as they’ve been the best team in baseball in June. This is a spot where I’ll ignore the pitching matchup and keep backing a team that keeps finding ways to win. Give me the fish and the plus money.