Pittsburgh Pirates (27-40) vs Miami Marlins (24-40)
Game Info: Tuesday, June 10, 2025 at 6:40 pm (PNC Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -137 / Miami Marlins +113 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Tuesday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Mitch Keller will get the start for the Pirates here and is 1-8 with a 4.13 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Keller is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 24 strikeouts.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back after starting the series with a 10-3 loss at the hands of the Pirates on Monday, to sit at 24-40 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road again for a series against the Washington Nationals.
Marlins Drop 8 Of Their Last 10
Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 56 hits, including 6 doubles and a team-high 11 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 55 hits with 13 doubles. Otto Lopez has 41 hits with 7 doubles and 6 home runs with 24 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 59 hits with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs, and 33 RBIs, but also has 68 strikeouts, while Mervis has 50 K’s as well so far this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won four of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two road games against NL opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs against the Pirates.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine road games.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded a Single in each of the Marlins’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL Central opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to build on their win over the Marlins to start the set to improve to 27-40 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will head on the road for a series against the rival Chicago Cubs.
Pirates Win Four Straight
Bryan Reynolds has 60 hits with 9 doubles, 8 home runs, and 39 RBIs while also leading the Pirates with 73 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 12 home runs and 28 RBIs with 23 stolen bases, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 55 hits with 9 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples this season. Tommy Pham has 4 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 52 hits with 10 doubles, and KeBryan Hayes has 52 hits with 18 RBIs and 6 stolen bases.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last seven night games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have won 15 of their last 16 night games against the Marlins following a home win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit at least one home run in three of the Pirates’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Adam Frazier has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances against the Marlins at PNC Park.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Pirates as home favorites against the Marlins.
- Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
- Oneil Cruz ranks T1st in the league in Steals (23) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Pirates’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Marlins’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’m on the Pirates here. I get the case to be made for the Marlins in the underdog role, as they’ve been feisty, and the Pirates haven’t had a ton of success with Mitch Keller on the bump. However, Pittsburgh’s probably in their best run of form so far this season, and Keller’s been pitching well despite his record; it’s just been a lack of run support that’s been his problem. I think the Pirates get the job done once again here. Give me Pittsburgh.