| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 34-35 | 35-34 |
| Spread | +1.5 -168 | -1.5 139 |
| Moneyline | +119 | -143 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Friday, June 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 35-34 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 19-17 home record and are coming off a 0-2 home defeat against the Marlins. They will face the Athletics and the Rockies next.
The Pirates have a .254 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .302 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 45, adding a team-high 16 home runs.
Braxton Ashcraft (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 5-3 record, 3.28 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 34-35 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 11-19 road record and are coming off a 2-0 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Phillies and the Giants next.
The Marlins have a .245 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .344 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 48, adding a team-high 12 home runs.
Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 5-4 record, 4.33 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft Record this season: 5-3 ERA: 3.28
- Home Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Marlins: 0-0
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six night games against the Pirates following a home win.
- The home team has won each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at PNC Park.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday games as road underdogs.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Friday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last five Friday games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara Record this season: 5-4 ERA: 4.33
- Road Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Pirates: 2-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have won each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at PNC Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven Friday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Marlins and Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jared Triolo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last five night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against the Pirates.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (93) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (638).
- The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (604).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (80).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (15).
Marlins vs Pirates Prediction
The Pirates are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Marlins and are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh.
In this Marlins vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -150 home favorites. The Pirates have been struggling lately with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games but have the pitching edge today with Braxton Ashcraft on the mound. He is coming off a bad start and he will bounce back and will go up against Sandy Alcantara who has been shaky at best and weaker on the road. On top of that, the Pirates have a superior offense and are better against righties, so I expect them to bounce back and win this one at home.