| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 64-63 | 69-58 |
| Spread | +1.5 -194 | -1.5 159 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -123 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-108) | Under 8.5 (-112) |
| Where | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 64-63 on the year and play the Red Sox and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .251 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and have a .404 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 152 hits and 54 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Javier Sanoja have combined for 218 hits and 93 RBI.
Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 13-7 with a 3.43 ERA and 130 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 8-11 with a 3.66 ERA and 128 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-58 on the year and play the Mariners and Cardinals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .240 on the season, with a .311 OBP and a .401 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 123 hits and 48 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have combined for 234 hits and 126 RBI.
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 4-9 with a 5.33 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. Nola is 6-13 with a 3.52 ERA and 181 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have won each of their last five games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine Wednesday night games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 games against the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last three Wednesday games as favorites.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in five of the last six games between the Marlins and Phillies.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last seven games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Marlins’ last 12 games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 games against NL East opponents.
- Derek Hill has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Griffin Conine has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games against the Phillies.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Sandy Alcantara ranks T5th in the league for Wins (13) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (180).
- The Phillies rank T7th in the league for triples this season (20).
- The Marlins rank 6th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.327).
- The Marlins are one of only six teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
We’re getting plus money with a desperate Marlins team that needs a win to stay in the wild card race. Nola hasn’t been himself this season with a 5.33 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, while Alcantara looks like his old self through his last 27 innings, allowing 14 hits and 1 run. Through his last 4 starts, Alcantara has been arguably the best starter in baseball. The fish and the more favorable price have to be in one of the top spots for Wednesday’s MLB card.