| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 52-46 | 60-37 |
| Spread | +1.5 -176 | -1.5 145 |
| Moneyline | +123 | -149 |
| Total | Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-110) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Saturday, July 18, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 60-37 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 30-18 home record and are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Mets and the Rockies next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .254 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 60, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 18 home runs.
Shane Drohan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he has a 4-3 record, 3.09 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 52-46 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 21-26 away record and are coming off a 1-2 road loss against the Brewers. They will face the Astros and the Padres next.
The Miami Marlins have a .253 batting average this season, .329 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .336 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 58, while Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Max Meyer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Miami Marlins, and he has a 9-1 record, 2.58 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: July 18, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 3.09
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Marlins: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer Record this season: 9-1 ERA: 2.58
- Road Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have won each of their last six Saturday games as underdogs against the Brewers.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Fourteen of the Brewers’ last 15 games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Marlins’ last seven games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Shane Drohan’s last six appearances as a starter.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Shane Drohan has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Max Meyer has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in day games.
- Max Meyer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games.
- Liam Hicks has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Griffin Conine has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (129) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (90).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (405).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (24).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (103).
Marlins vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Marlins and have won their last two meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Marlins vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -130 home favorites. The Marlins have been struggling with four consecutive losses where they have scored two runs or less and I cannot trust them against one of the best teams in baseball, not even with Max Meyer on the mound. Shane Drohan has been solid for the Brewers and the Marlins have been struggling against lefties, while Milwaukee has the 4th-best offense and the 4th-best bullpen in baseball. Take the Brewers in this one.