Houston Astros (46-44) vs Miami Marlins (32-58)
Game Info: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Astros -210 / Miami Marlins +175 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article we will formulate a Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 9th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Astros recent form and recent player performance
- The Marlins recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
- Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Miami
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Houston and Miami
Astros Closing in on the Mariners
The Houston Astros are 46-44 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Houston is coming off of a series loss against Minnesota, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Astros won three out of four against the Blue Jays, won two out of three against the Mets, and won both games against the Rockies. Houston is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are just two games behind Seattle in the AL West.
The Houston pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 429 runs with a .264 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .298 with 19 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored at least five runs in four of their last six games.
Marlins Going for Three Straight
The Miami Marlins are 32-58 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Miami is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Marlins lost all three against the Red Sox, split four games with the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Royals. Miami is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL East.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 316 runs with a .231 batting average and a .282 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .237 with 15 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has allowed at least four runs in five of their last seven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ronel Blanco, who is 8-3 with a 2.53 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 96.0 innings pitched this year. Blanco has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Trevor Rogers, who is 1-9 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched this season. Rogers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings.
Why the Astros will beat the Marlins
- The Astros have won each of their last six games at Minute Maid Park following a loss.
- The Marlins have lost 14 of their last 16 road games following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Minute Maid Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last three games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Marlins’ last nine road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six Tuesday games against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Chas McCormick has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two games against the Marlins.
- Yordan Alvarez has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last six night games.
- Jose Altuve has recorded an RBI in each of the Astros’ last four night games.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Single in five of his last six road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Astros at Minute Maid Park.
- Josh Bell has scored at least one run in each of his last three appearances at Minute Maid Park.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last three games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Houston comes into this game playing some of their best baseball of the season and they are about to pass Seattle for first in the AL West. The Astros started the season very slow, but they have picked up the pace over the last month. Houston is 24-19 at home, while Miami is just 14-27 on the road. The Marlins did just win a series against the White Sox at home, but their pitching staff is one of the worst in baseball. Trevor Rogers has pitched better in recent outings, but his overall season numbers are still not good. Ronel Blanco has been above average for the Astros this year and he should be able to silence this weak Miami offense. My Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Astros to win by at least two runs.