Miami (58-62) vs Cleveland (62-57)
August 14, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland -1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
The Miami Marlins and Cleveland Guardians meet Thursday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 58-62 on the year and play the Red Sox, Cardinals, and Blue Jays next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 130 hits and 34 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 206 hits and 128 RBI.
Edward Cabrera gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 6-5 with a 3.08 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. This will be Cabrera’s first career game against the Cleveland Guardians. The Marlins currently sit in 22nd place in the overall MLB standings.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 62-57 on the year and play the Braves, Diamondbacks, and Rangers next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .228 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .378 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 129 hits and 63 RBI while Steven Kwan and Carlos Santana have combined for 210 hits and 91 RBI.
Tanner Bibee gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 8-9 with a 4.60 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. This will be Bibee’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won six of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against the Guardians following a win.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Progressive Field.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games at Progressive Field against teams that held a losing record.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Marlins.
- Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 15 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
The Guardians have rebounded from losses well lately, but Bibee has allowed 20 hits and 12 runs in his last 15 innings. Bibee has allowed three or more earned runs in each of his last four starts. Cabrera is enjoying a hell of a season, and that includes allowed 13 hits and four runs in his last 25.2 innings. Cabrera has allowed two runs and struck out 18 in his last 14 innings. Through 108 innings this season, Cabrera is allowing a .218 batting average. The fish have the edge on the mound so that’s where I’ll lean on Thursday night.