| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 63-61 | 59-63 |
| Spread | -1.5 123 | +1.5 -148 |
| Moneyline | -126 | +105 |
| Total | Over 9 (-117) | Under 9 (-103) |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Sunday, August 16, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 63-61 on the year and play the Phillies and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and have a .403 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 149 hits and 53 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Kyle Stowers have combined for 213 hits and 98 RBI.
Eury Perez gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 6-9 with a 3.39 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season. Perez is 2-1 with a 4.19 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 59-63 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Cardinals next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 227 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .394 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds’ pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Sal Stewart leads the Cincinnati Reds with 121 hits and 91 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have combined for 188 hits and 96 RBI.
Nick Lodolo gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 3-2 with a 4.86 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Lodolo is 3-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won six of their last seven games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The favorites have won each of the Reds’ last seven games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Reds have lost five of their last six games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 15 of their last 16 day games following a win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Marlins’ last 11 road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Reds’ last 10 day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Reds’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four games.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Eury Perez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games at Great American Ball Park.
- Joe Mack has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games as road favorites against NL opponents.
Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Marlins are in a better position to make the playoffs and are playing the more consistent ball overall. Perez looks like a young pitcher who can be an All-Star sooner rather than later, as he’s rocking a 3.39 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through 116.2 innings. Lodolo was awful in his last start against the White Sox, and through 41 innings at home, he has a 5.27 ERA and a .285 allowed batting average. The Marlins are in a better position to win this game and need to take advantage to stay in touch with the wild card race. Give me the fish and the low price.