| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 78-80 | 87-71 |
| Spread | +1.5 -136 | -1.5 113 |
| Moneyline | +169 | -206 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110) |
| Where | Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois | |
| When | Thursday, September 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:20 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 87-71 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 45-35 home record and are coming off a 2-3 home loss against the Marlins. They will face the Red Sox next.
The Chicago Cubs have a .251 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .430 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 107 and adding a team-high 45 home runs.
Matthew Boyd (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 9-5 record, 4.06 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 78-80 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 33-47 away record and are coming off a 3-2 road win against the Cubs. They will face the Braves next.
The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average, adding a team-high 71 RBI. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Tyler Phillips (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 5-6 record, 3.45 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: September 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Matthew Boyd Record this season: 9-5 ERA: 4.06
- Home Record: 5-3
- Last 5 against Marlins: 0-0
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six Thursday road games.
- The Cubs have won five of their last six home games against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in 11 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five Thursday road games.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home day games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 3.45
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Cubs: 1-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Cubs.
- The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Cubs’ last eight home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Marlins’ last six day games against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last 15 games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last 10 Thursday games against NL opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit at least one home run in three of the Cubs’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (45) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of the Marlins’ last four road games against the Cubs.
- Griffin Conine has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (187) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (839).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (793).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (35).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (161).
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction
The Marlins have won their last three meetings against the Cubs and have won their last three visits in Chicago.
In this Marlins vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -190 home favorites. The Cubs have been dominated in this series and they should not be -190 favorites with Boyd on the mound, who has given up 3+ runs in five of his last seven starts and sits on a 5.53 home ERA. Phillips on the other hand, has given up two runs or less in five of his last six starts and the Marlins have similar numbers offensively and in bullpen ERA than the Cubs in their last 10 games. Take the Marlins by +1.5 in this one.