Atlanta Braves (1-7) vs Miami Marlins (4-4)
Game Info: Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 7:15 pm (Truist Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -230 / Miami Marlins +190 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet on Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Cal Quantrill for the start here, and Quantrill is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and 2 strikeouts so far this season. In his career, Quantrill is 0-2 with a 3.94 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Atlanta. The Atlanta Braves will start AJ Smith-Shawver here, and Smith-Shawver is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 4 strikeouts so far this season. This will be Smith-Shawver’s first career start against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back after starting the series on the wrong foot with a 10-0 loss at the hands of the Braves to fall to 4-4 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will continue on the road for another division series against the New York Mets.
Marlins Drop Back-To-Back Games For First Time This Season
Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with 10 hits, including team highs of 2 home runs and 7 RBIs, while Graham Pauley has chipped in a team-high 3 doubles as well on the year. Xavier Edwards has a pair of doubles with 8 hits, and Dane Myers, Derek Hill, and Nick Fortes all have a pair of doubles as well this season, while Kyle Stowers and Jonah Bride each have a team-high 9 strikeouts as well on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will look to keep the momentum going after demolishing the Marlins on Friday to kick off the series and improve to 1-7 this season. After this series, the Braves will welcome the rival Philadelphia Phillies to town for a divisional set.
Braves Finally Get First Win
Ozzie Albies leads the Braves with 7 hits, including a double and a home run with 5 RBIs, while Matt Olson has 6 hits with a team-high 3 doubles and 5 RBIs, and Marcell Ozuna’s added 5 RBIs as well on the year while drawing a team-high 13 walks. Austin Riley has hit just .161 this season and has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 12 strikeouts so far this year.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The home team has won each of the Braves’ last 11 games.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last three night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Michael Harris has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Harris has recorded two or more hits in each of his last seven appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Marlins.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Truist Park.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.559) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Fourteen of the Braves’ last 16 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Marlins’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’m on the Braves again in this one. I just think that the Braves are a better team than their record would indicate, and they had a really tough first week of the season, playing a Dodgers and Padres team that could each finish with 100+ wins this season, if we’re being honest. The Marlins for me got off to a hot start, but this is just a bad spot of a series for them, as the Braves are in desperation mode to make amends for that horrible start to the year and I think they take another step in the right direction with another big win at home here. Give me the Atlanta Braves.