Atlanta Braves (0-7) vs Miami Marlins (4-3)
Game Info: Friday, April 4, 2025 at 7:15 pm (Truist Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -245 / Miami Marlins +200 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will start Max Meyer here and Meyer is 0-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 7 strikeouts so far this season. In his career, Meyer is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Atlanta Braves. Spencer Schwellenbach will get the start in this one for the Braves and is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 4 strikeouts so far this season. This will be Schwellenbach’s second career start against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins will be out to bounce back after their series loss thanks to a 6-5 loss in extra innings in Wednesday’s rubber match to fall to 4-3 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will continue on the road for another division series against the New York Mets.
Marlins Looking To Find Some Consistency
Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with 10 hits including team-highs of 2 home runs and 7 RBIs while Graham Pauley has chipped in a team-high 3 doubles as well on the year. Xavier Edwards has a pair of doubles with 8 hits and Dane Myers, Derek Hill and Nick Fortes all have a pair of doubles as well this season with Hill posting a team-high 8 strikeouts as well on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last nine games.
- The Marlins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded a Single in each of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Otto Lopez ranks T4th in the league in Hits (10) this season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will be looking to rebound from back-to-back sweeps to start the year after falling to 0-7 thanks to a 6-5 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers in Wednesday’s series finale. After this set, the Braves will welcome the Philadelphia Phillies to town for a matchup.
Braves Still Looking For Elusive First Win
Ozzie Albies leads the Braves with 5 hits including a double and a home run with 4 RBIs while Matt Olson has 4 hits with a team-high 3 doubles and 2 RBIs and Marcell Ozuna’s added 2 RBIs as well on the year while drawing a team-high 13 walks. Austin Riley has hit just .111 this season and has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 11 strikeouts so far this year.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The home team has won each of the Braves’ last 10 games.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last nine Friday games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday night games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Marlins.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 24 of his last 25 home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Truist Park.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in home openers.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.552) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Fourteen of the Braves’ last 15 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Marlins’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’m on the Atlanta Braves big here. I get that the Marlins have been competitive in spots, and it’s tempting to take them at this price against a winless Braves team. However, I still am not buying into this Marlins team as I think Miami’s order 1 through 9 may still end up being one of the worst in the majors this season. Atlanta’s a better team than their record and just ended up with a tough draw against the Dodgers and Padres in the first two weeks of the season. Now with a step down in class and one of their best arms going in Schwellenbach, I think the Braves finally get into the win column in emphatic fashion. Give me the Braves in this one.