Atlanta Braves (59-49) vs Miami Marlins (40-69)
Game Info: Friday, August 2, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -275 / Miami Marlins +225 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 2nd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:
- The Marlins recent form and recent player performance
- The Braves recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
- Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Atlanta
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and Atlanta
Marlins Hoping for More Offense in Game Two
The Miami Marlins are 40-69 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Miami lost the first game in this series and they scored just two runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Marlins split two games with Tampa Bay, won two out of three against Milwaukee, and won two out of three against the Baltimore. Miami is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are last in the NL East.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 394 runs with a .237 batting average and a .290 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .239 with 15 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four games.
Braves are Chasing the Phillies
The Atlanta Braves are 59-49 this season and they have won three games in a row. Atlanta won game one in this series by a score of 4-2 on Thursday night. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Brewers, split four games with the Mets, and lost both games against the Reds. Atlanta is 5-1 in their last six games and they are just six games behind the Phillies in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 459 runs with a .239 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .303 with 31 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored at least four runs in six of their last seven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Miami is TBD. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 4-5 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this year. Schwellenbach has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three outings.
Why the Braves will beat the Marlins
- The Marlins have lost 14 of their last 15 games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won each of their last seven home games against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Truist Park against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last five home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Marlins’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three home games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Braves’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Marlins.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Braves at Truist Park.
- Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last five night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in six of his eight previous appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Braves at Truist Park.
- Jake Burger has recorded two hits in each of the Marlins’ last four night games.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last four night games.
Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Atlanta has started to play much better over the last week and they are starting to close the gap with the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 31-21 at home this year, while the Marlins are 18-35 on the road. Miami is one of the bottom teams in the MLB, but they have played decent baseball over the last week. We don’t know what direction the Marlins will go in for their starting pitcher, but due to plenty of injuries, they don’t have many great options. Atlanta is going with Schwellenbach, who has been very serviceable in limited action this year. I don’t love not knowing the pitcher for Miami, but my Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Braves to win by at least three runs.