Miami Marlins vs Athletics Prediction 7/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 3, 2026; West Sacramento, California, USA; Miami Marlins first baseman Kyle Stowers (28) hits a single against the Athletics during the first inning at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Lee-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Miami Marlins
Oakland Athletics
Team Records
48-42
41-48
Spread
-1.5 151
+1.5 -184
Moneyline
+100
-120
Total
Over 10 (-108)
Under 10 (-112)
Where
Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, California
When
Sunday, July 5, 2026
Time
04:30 PM EDT
TV
Peacock
The Miami Marlins and the Athletics meet Sunday in MLB action from Sutter Health Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Athletics prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Eury Perez for the start here and Perez is 4-6 with a 4.21 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Gage Jump will start this game for the Athletics and is 3-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 7-2 win over the Athletics last time out to improve to 41-48 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.
Marlins Win 7 Of Last 10
Going into Saturday, Xavier Edwards has 96 hits with 13 doubles, 5 triples, 6 home runs and 34 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 117 hits with 23 doubles, 5 triples, 7 homers and 37 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 75 hits with 7 doubles, 13 home runs and 54 RBIs. Connor Norby has 41 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 51 hits with 12 doubles, 11 homers and 49 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 57 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 22 RBIs this season.
Athletics Recap
The Athletics will be out to bounce back from their loss to the Marlins on Saturday to sit at 41-48 this season. After this series, the Athletics will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.
Athletics Lose 6 Of Last 7
Entering Saturday, Shea Langeliers has 87 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 44 RBIs while Tyler Soderstrom’s added 70 hits with 20 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 41 RBIs. Brent Rooker has 36 hits with 10 home runs and 29 RBIs. Jacob Wilson also has 56 hits with 10 doubles, 4 home runs and 26 RBIs and Nick Kurtz has 89 hits with 15 doubles, 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this season.
Miami Marlins @ Athletics Betting Trends: July 5, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Gage Jump Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 2.92
Home Record: 1-2
Last 5 against Marlins: –
Why the Athletics will win
The Athletics have won each of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Marlins have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents following a road win.
The Athletics have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
The Athletics have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Athletics have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
The Athletics have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez Record this season: 4-6 ERA: 4.21
Road Record: 1-4
Last 5 against Athletics: 1-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
The Marlins have won each of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Athletics have lost each of their last seven Sunday games as home favorites.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games following a win.
The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 Sunday games as home favorites.
The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against American League opponents.
The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Marlins’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Athletics’ last six day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against AL West opponents.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Athletics’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
Athletics Player Prop Facts
Nick Kurtz has hit a home run in each of the Athletics’ last two games as home favorites.
Gage Jump has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Athletics as favorites.
Nick Kurtz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Nick Kurtz ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.420) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against the Athletics.
Eury Perez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Liam Hicks has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances.
Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (120) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Athletics rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.07).
The Athletics rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.265).
The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (22).
The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (96).
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics Prediction
I’m on the Marlins in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, as I haven’t been the biggest fan of Eury Perez on the road this season, but I think he’s in a decent spot here with the A’s not hitting all that well right now and the Marlins bats have been some of the hottest in baseball over the last month. I think Gage Jump could have some issues against a Miami team that’s really improved their play against lefties and I think the Marlins get the job done here.