| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 74-77 | 80-71 |
| Spread | +1.5 -164 | -1.5 136 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -157 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (-108) |
| Where | Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona | |
| When | Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 80-71 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL West. They have a 43-33 home record and are coming off an 8-7 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Yankees and the Rockies next.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .244 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Gabriel Moreno is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average. Nolan Arenado leads the team in RBI with 73, adding a team-high 25 home runs.
Michael Soroka (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 8-5 record, 3.53 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 74-77 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 29-44 away record and are coming off a 7-8 road loss against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Padres and the Cubs next.
The Miami Marlins have a .250 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .307 batting average, adding a team-high 69 RBI. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Janson Junk (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 6-9 record, 4.54 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: September 15, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Soroka Record this season: 8-5 ERA: 3.53
- Home Record: 4-3
- Last 5 against Marlins: 2-1
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has won each of the last four games between the Marlins and Diamondbacks.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Janson Junk Record this season: 6-9 ERA: 4.54
- Road Record: 3-5
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-1
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at Chase Field against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Marlins and Diamondbacks at Chase Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 14 of the Marlins’ last 15 road games against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven night games.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his seven previous appearances against the Marlins.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Soroka has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents .
- Gabriel Moreno is one of only six players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Javier Sanoja has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Janson Junk has recorded three or more strikeouts in nine of his 11 previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 12 night games.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (180) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (36).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1052).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (35).
- The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (151).
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Diamondbacks and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Arizona.
In this Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -150 home favorites. I like the Dbacks at home in this one, as Soroka has been better at home with a 2.73 ERA and has two shutouts in his last three home starts. On the flip side, Junk has been weaker on the road with a 4.78 ERA and the Marlins’ bullpen has been in bad shape lately, with a 7+ ERA in their last 5 games. Take the Dbacks to win this one at home.