Mets vs Nationals Prediction 8/19/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 19th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 66-58 this year after they won two out of three against Seattle by scores of 9-11, 3-1, and 7-3. In their game three win, New York had their lead cut to 3-1 in the fourth inning, but they scored the next two runs to pull away for the victory. The Mets recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 2-3 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. New York started Holmes, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Garrett allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Braves and all three against the Brewers. New York has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 554 runs with a .244 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 28 home runs and 100 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 30 home runs and 71 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 7-5 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 136.1 innings pitched this year.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 50-74 this season after they split four games with Philadelphia by scores of 3-2, 2-6, 2-0, and 9-11. In their game four loss, Washington erased a 6-0 deficit in the third inning, but allowed the next five runs for the loss. The Nationals recorded 13 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by DeJong, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Washington started Parker, who allowed four hits and five earned runs over 1.2 innings, while Poulin picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Royals, but did win two out of three against the Giants before that. Washington has won three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .271 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 531 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 25 home runs and 80 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 16 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 8-7 with a 5.14 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 140.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Mets will beat the Nationals

• The Mets have won each of their last six Tuesday games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have lost four of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games following a loss.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in 15 of their last 20 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Mets’ last five games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 games at Nationals Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Nationals’ last nine night games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Paul DeJong has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• CJ Abrams has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as road favorites.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Nationals.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction 

New York has really struggled over the last few weeks, but they are coming off of a series win over Seattle and will look to build on that here. The Mets are 25-34 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 24-38 at home. Washington did play the Phillies tough over the weekend, but they are starting Irvin, who has allowed at least five earned runs in three of his last five starts. New York is going with Peterson, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 10 hits over his last 9.1 innings. Take the over here.