Mets vs Marlins Prediction 9/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 7th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 65-78 this year after they won two out of three against the Giants by scores of 10-6, 5-9, and 4-2. In game three, New York trailed 2-0 in the fourth inning, but they scored four runs in the eighth for the win. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bichette, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Scott allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Myers got the win and Senga picked up the save. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Astros before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 596 runs with a .236 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 23 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jonah Tong, who is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 72-72 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 1-6, 5-6, and 10-3. In game three, Miami was tied 3-3 in the fifth inning, but they scored the last seven runs for the win. The Marlins recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Hernandez, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Phillips allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Gibson threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to that series, Miami won two out of three against the Royals, but lost three out of four against the Nationals before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 631 runs with a .247 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with 10 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 55 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 7-10 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 135.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost each of their last seven games at LoanDepot Park following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have won eight of the Marlins’ last 11 games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 Monday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last seven day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 20 of the Marlins’ last 23 games against NL opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Mets’ last five games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Eury Perez has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
• Mark Vientos has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Mets as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of their last five games. The Marlins are 43-29 at home this year, while the Mets are 31-38 on the road. New York has won three of their last four games and they continue to play very well in recent series. The Mets are starting Tong, who has allowed 4, 0, and 0 earned runs in his last three outings, while Perez has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 7.2 innings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 8