Mets vs Braves Prediction 8/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 11th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 53-67 this year after they won game one by a score of 8-5 on Monday night. New York scored seven runs in the first three innings and they were able to hang on for the win. The Mets recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Baty, who went 1-3 with one home run and four RBIs. Scott allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Duarte picked up the win. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Pirates and all three against the Guardians. 

This season, New York has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 507 runs with a .236 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 11 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 8-7 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 130.2 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 71-48 this season after they lost game one by a score of 5-8 last night. Atlanta cut the deficit to 7-5 in the fifth inning, but failed to score in the last four innings for the loss. The Braves recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Dubon, who went 1-5 with two RBIs. Elder allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Mederos allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did sweep the Marlins in three games before that. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 581 runs with a .249 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 34 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 7-6 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 100.1 innings pitched this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last 15 Tuesday home games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have lost each of their last seven Tuesday night games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Truist Park.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 13 games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
• The Braves have lost four of their last six games as home favorites following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Mets’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last three games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last five road games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the last seven night games between the Mets and Braves at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Martin Perez has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 24 of his last 25 appearances against the Mets at Truist Park.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Nolan McLean has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
• Nolan McLean has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Brett Baty has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Mets as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Mets vs Braves Prediction

New York was able to stay hot at the plate with another win on Monday night and they have scored 6+ runs in four of their last five games. The Mets are 28-33 on the road this year, while the Braves are 39-21 at home. Atlanta has lost three of their last four games, but they still lead the NL East by 8 games. The Braves are starting Perez, who has allowed three earned runs in his last 19.0 innings, while McLean has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow five earned runs last time out. Take the Braves to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Braves ML