| MATCHUP | New York Mets | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 35-50 | 40-45 |
| Spread | +1.5 -193 | -1.5 158 |
| Moneyline | +104 | -125 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (-103) |
| Where | Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario | |
| When | Monday, June 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:07 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 29th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 35-49 this season after they lost two out of three against the Phillies by scores of 1-2, 6-2, and 4-5. In game three, New York took a 4-3 lead in the sixth inning, but they allowed two runs in the seventh for the loss. The Mets recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Benge, who went 1-5 with two RBIs. Myers allowed six hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Senga allowed two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss. Prior to that series, New York lost all four against the Cubs and two out of three against the Phillies.
This season, New York has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 339 runs with a .231 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 17 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 46 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 1-2 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 57.1 innings pitched this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 39-45 this year after they lost all four against the Rangers by scores of 5-6, 4-5, 4-7, and 2-3. In game four, Toronto tied the game at two in the eighth inning, but they allowed a run in the ninth for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lukes, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Bieber allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Varland picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Toronto lost two out of three against the Astros and split two games with the Cubs.
This season, Toronto has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 343 runs with a .248 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 19 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Trey Yesavage, who is 3-3 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 60.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Mets have lost eight of their last nine games.
- The home team has won four of the last five games between the Mets and Blue Jays.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last four games.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Mets’ last five games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last three games between the Mets and Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games against American League opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.299) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against the Blue Jays.
- Sean Manaea has recorded four or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.406) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (624).
- The Blue Jays rank 26th in the league for steals this season (36).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.375).
- The Mets rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (769).
Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto comes into this matchup after a very ugly series with the Rangers over the weekend and they have lost five games in a row. The Blue Jays are 22-24 at home this year, while the Mets are 16-25 on the road. New York has lost six of their last seven games and they are last in the NL East. The Mets are starting Manaea, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Yesavage has allowed 1, 3, 5, 6, and 1 earned run in his last five starts. Both teams are struggling, but I will side with Yesavage and the Blue Jays at home.