| MATCHUP | Miami Marlins | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-3 | 7-1 |
| Spread | +1.5 113 | -1.5 -136 |
| Moneyline | +238 | -300 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (-108) |
| Where | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York | |
| When | Sunday, April 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 5th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 5-3 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-8 and 7-9. In their game two loss, Miami led 4-0 in the fourth inning and they tied the game at six in the eighth, but their bullpen couldn’t get the job done in the bottom of the eighth for the loss. The Marlins recorded 15 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sanoja and Hernandez, who both had two RBIs. Meyer allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings in the no decision, while Petersen was charged with the loss.
This season, Miami has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP and a .189 opponent batting average, while they have scored 42 runs with a .284 batting average and a .355 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and nine RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Chris Paddack, who is 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this season.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 7-1 this year after they won game two by a score of 9-7 on Saturday night. New York fell behind early in the game, but they rallied in the middle innings and ended up scoring three in the bottom of the eighth for the win. The Yankees recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bellinger, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Weathers allowed six hits and three earned runs over 3.2 innings in the no decision, while Headrick got the win and Bednar picked up the save.
This season, New York has a 1.77 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP and a .199 opponent batting average, while they have scored 41 runs with a .226 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with three home runs and seven RBIs, while Ben Rice has added two home runs and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.53 WHIP over 13.1 innings pitched this year. The Yankees will face off against the Athletics next.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won seven of their last eight Sunday day games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have lost three of their last four day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five Sunday day games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last five games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five road games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Marlins.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against the Marlins .
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Chris Paddack has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
- Agustin Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against the Yankees.
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction
New York comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they are looking for the series sweep here. The Yankees have scored at least five runs in four straight games and they are starting Fried, who has been elite in two outings this year. Miami has split their last four games and they have gone over eight runs in five straight. The Marlins have struggled to slow down this Yankees lineup, but they do have an offensive that can attack. Take the over once again here.