Marlins vs Yankees Prediction 4/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 3rd at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 5-1 this season after they won two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 4-9, 9-2, and 10-0. In their game three win, Miami scored four runs in the first inning and never looked back in the blowout victory. The Marlins recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, who went 3-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Alcantara allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 9.0 innings for the complete game shutout. 

This season, Miami has a 2.83 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP and a .185 opponent batting average, while they have scored 33 runs with a .290 batting average and a .365 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added one home run and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 5-1 this year after they won two out of three against the Mariners by scores of 1-2, 5-0, and 5-3. In their game three win, New York led 4-0 in the eighth inning, but they did allow three runs in the last two innings to make the game interesting. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Goldschmidt, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Schlittler allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win, while Bednar picked up the four out save. 

This season, New York has a 1.01 ERA with a 0.84 WHIP and a .174 opponent batting average, while they have scored 24 runs with a .227 batting average and a .287 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with two home runs and three RBIs, while Paul Goldschmidt has added one home run and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine road openers.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games following a home win.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road openers as underdogs.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road openers as underdogs.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have lost five of their last six Friday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at Yankee Stadium following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Marlins’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four road games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Yankees’ last six day games against NL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances with the Yankees against NL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games against AL opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as underdogs against the Yankees.

Marlins vs Yankees Prediction 

Both of these teams have had a great start to the season and both are pitching very well, so this should be an interesting series. Miami scored 19 runs in their last two games and they are facing Warren, who was solid in his first start, but he is one of New York’s weaker starters. The Yankees have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games and they are facing Perez, who pitched seven innings in his first start. I know the Yankees aren’t hitting the ball very well right now and their pitching has been great, but Miami is scoring plenty of runs. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 7.5