Miami (41-48) vs Cincinnati (46-45)
July 8, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 8th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 41-48 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-1 on Monday. Miami trailed 1-0 early in the game, but they scored the last five runs in the game for the win. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the contest and they were led by Ramirez, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Miami started Junk, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings in the win, while Bender picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. Miami has alternated wins and losses over their last seven games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 375 runs with a .253 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 16 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 14 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 46-45 this year after they dropped game one to start this series. Cincinnati led 1-0 in the second inning, but they couldn’t score any runs over the last seven innings in the loss. The Reds recorded just three hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Stephenson, who went 0-2 with one RBI in the loss. Cincinnati started Singer, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Richardson and Suter allowed one earned run each.
Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Red Sox. Cincinnati has lost five of their last seven games and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 416 runs with a .245 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 18 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 10 home runs and 37 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 6-8 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 100.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Reds will beat the Marlins
The Reds have won each of their last six games at Great American Ball Park following a home loss.
The Marlins have lost five of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park following a home loss.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
The Reds have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Tuesday games against the Marlins.
The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Five of the Marlins’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Reds’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park.
Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games at Great American Ball Park.
Gavin Lux has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Marlins vs Reds Prediction
Miami was able to get the win on Monday night in game one of this series, but they have had plenty of trouble winning back to back games over the last week. The Marlins are 21-21 on the road this year, while the Reds are 24-20 at home. Cincinnati has scored just one run in each of their last three games and they are facing Perez, who has allowed 0, 3, 3, and 1 earned run in his last four outings. The Reds are starting Martinez, who has allowed 4, 1, and 7 earned runs in his last three starts. I don’t love Martinez on the mound, but I am going to stick with Miami’s trend of alternating wins and losses, as I think Perez could also have trouble. Take the Reds here.