Marlins vs Pirates Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 25-40 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-10 and 3-2. In their game two win, Miami led 3-0 in the fourth inning, and they were able to get the win, despite not scoring over the last five innings. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Fortes, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Faucher picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Rays and all three against the Rockies. Miami has lost seven of its last nine games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.07 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 262 runs with a .248 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added eight home runs and 19 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 3-6 with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 54.1 innings pitched this year. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 27-41 this season after they lost game two by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday night. Pittsburgh didn’t get much going at the plate, but they did hit two solo home runs in the eighth to avoid the shutout. The Pirates recorded six hits in the game and they committed one error, while they were led by Hayes and Cruz, who both had one RBI in the loss. Pittsburgh started Keller, who allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Borucki and Mattson finished the final three innings. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates swept the Phillies in three games, but did lose two out of three against the Astros before that. Pittsburgh has won four of its last five games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 220 runs with a .229 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 13 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added eight home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 4-3 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 69.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Pirates will beat the Marlins 

• The Marlins have lost each of their last nine Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have won eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Marlins will beat the Pirates 

• The Pirates have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a loss.
• The Marlins have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against the Pirates following a road win.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Pirates’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five road games against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.
• Adam Frazier has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Pirates as home favorites against the Marlins.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded an RBI in five of his last six home appearances against the Marlins.
• Adam Frazier has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games as road underdogs.
• Otto Lopez has scored a run in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against the Pirates.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs against the Pirates.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded a Single in four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction 

Pittsburgh had its winning streak come to an end on Tuesday night, and they have scored two runs in three of their last four games. The Pirates are 18-19 at home this year, while the Marlins are 11-20 on the road. Miami’s offense has also really struggled in recent games, but its pitching has shown slight improvement. The Marlins are starting Quantrill, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. The Pirates are going with Falter, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Both of these pitchers have been solid in recent outings, and I don’t love either offense, so give me the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5