Miami (65-73) vs Washington (54-83)
September 2, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Washington -115 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 2nd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 65-73 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 2-0 on Monday. Miami allowed just two runs in the second inning, but their offense never showed up in the loss. The Marlins recorded two hits in the game and they were led by Hernandez and Mesa Jr, who both had one hit in the game. Miami started Bachar, who allowed two hits and two earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss, while four pitchers combined for a scoreless six innings of relief work.
Prior to this series, the Marlins won three out of four against the Mets, but did lose two out of three against the Braves before that. Miami has won three of their last five games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 599 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 19 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Adam Mazur, who is 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 54-83 this season after they won game one to start this series on Monday. Washington failed to score over the last six innings of the game, but they did enough to get the shutout victory. The Nationals recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lile and Chaparro, who both had one RBI in the game. Washington started Alvarez, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Ferrer picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Nationals lost all three against the Rays and all three against the Yankees. Washington has lost eight of their last nine games and they are last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 573 runs with a .243 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 26 home runs and 84 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 17 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 1-1 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins
The Marlins have lost each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have won each of their last three home games against NL East opponents.
The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the Nationals’ last nine games.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last three home games against NL East opponents.
Why the Marlins will beat the Nationals
The Nationals have lost eight of their last 10 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Nationals.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
Nine of the Nationals’ last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs against the Nationals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven night games between the Marlins and Nationals at Nationals Park.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
Luis Garcia has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games against NL opponents.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 30 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Washington finally snapped their losing streak with a win on Monday afternoon, but they have been pretty bad over the last few weeks. The Nationals are 27-42 at home this year, while the Marlins are 34-36 on the road. Miami was shutout in game one, but their offense has been pretty solid this season. The Marlins are starting Mazur, who has allowed six earned runs and nine hits over 9.2 innings. The Nats are starting Cavalli, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 15 hits in his last 8.1 innings. Take the over in this contest, as both pitchers have been shaky in recent outings.