Marlins vs Guardians Prediction 8/13/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 13th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 57-62 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 4-3 on Tuesday night. Miami erased a 3-0 deficit in the fifth inning, but they failed to score over the last four innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Myers and Hernandez, who both had one RBI in the loss. Miami started Junk, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Faucher allowed one earned run in relief and was charged with the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost four out of five against the Braves and two out of three against the Astros. Miami has lost four games in a row and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 508 runs with a .251 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 17 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 4-3 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 55.1 innings pitched this year. The Marlins currently sit in 3rd place in the National League East standings.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 62-56 this season after they won game one by a score of 4-3 on Tuesday night. Cleveland jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the second inning, but they didn’t score again until the eighth, which was the winning run. The Guardians recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Ramirez, who went 3-4 with two home runs and two RBIs in the win. Cleveland started Allen, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Smith picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the White Sox and all three against the Mets. Cleveland has won six of their last seven games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 470 runs with a .228 batting average and a .301 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 25 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 21 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 7-4 with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 125.0 innings pitched this season.

Why the Guardians will beat the Marlins

• The Guardians have won each of their last nine Wednesday night home games.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last four road games.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Progressive Field.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Marlins will beat the Guardians

• The Marlins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games at Progressive Field against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Marlins’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Marlins and Guardians at Progressive Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Guardians’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Marlins vs Guardians Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup looking to snap a four game losing streak and they have allowed 26 runs in those four games. The Marlins are 29-31 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 30-27 at home. Cleveland continues to just find ways to win, as they are hunting the Tigers in the Central. The Guardians are starting Williams, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight games. The Marlins are going with Perez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. I think runs are going to be at a premium in this game, so give me the under here.