Marlins vs Cubs Prediction 5/12/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 12th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 15-24 this season after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 2-6, 3-1, and 2-4. In their game three loss, Miami was tied at one in the sixth inning, but they allowed a three-run home run in the bottom of the sixth for the loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Edwards and Ramirez, who both had one RBI in the loss. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Henriquez, Phillips, and Veneziano finished the game with 2.1 scoreless innings. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Athletics. Miami has lost five of its last seven games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.70 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 164 runs with a .246 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with seven home runs and 26 RBIs, while Matt Mervis has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 2-3 with a 7.11 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 23-18 this year after they lost two out of three against the Mets by scores of 2-7, 6-5, and 2-6. In their game three loss, the Cubs tied the game at two in the seventh inning, but they allowed four in the eighth to lose the game. Chicago recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Crow-Armstrong and Hoerner, who both had one RBI in the loss. Chicago started Boyd, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Hodge allowed three earned runs over 0.1 innings for the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Giants, but did win two out of three against the Brewers before that. Chicago has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 233 runs with a .252 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Tucker has led Chicago with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, while Seiya Suzuki has added nine home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 29.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Marlins 

• The Cubs have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last 18 Monday night road games.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a road loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against the Marlins at Wrigley Field.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Monday games as favorites.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cubs’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Cubs’ last 13 Monday games against National League opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Marlins.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in 12 of the Cubs’ last 13 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Cubs’ last 10 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Tucker ranks T9th in the league in Steals (10) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Cubs.
• Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in four of his last five appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
• Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in seven of the Marlins’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (49).
• The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (59).
• The Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (233).
• The Marlins rank 27th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.268).

David Racey is 27-7 (79%) in the MLB over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction 

Miami comes into this series after dropping two out of three games against the lowly White Sox, and they are just 5-12 on the road this year. The Marlins have had a decent start at the plate, but their pitching staff has been brutal. Miami is starting Quantrill, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts. Chicago has cooled off after their red-hot start to the season, but they are starting Rea, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Cubs -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Cubs -1.5