Miami (56-57) vs Atlanta (47-66)
August 7, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 7th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 56-57 this year after they lost two out of three against Houston by scores of 2-8, 3-7, and 6-4. In their game three win, Miami trailed 2-0 in the first inning, but they scored six of the next seven runs to pull away in the victory. The Marlins recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Hernandez, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Miami started Junk, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bachar picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Marlins swept the Yankees in three games and won two out of three against the Cardinals. Miami has won six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 486 runs with a .252 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 17 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 4-3 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 50.0 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 47-66 this season after they lost all three against Milwaukee by scores of 1-3, 2-7, and 4-5. In their game three loss, Atlanta led 1-0 in the first, but they allowed the next five runs and came up just short in the comeback attempt. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by White, Murphy, Profar, and Harris II, who all had one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Strider, who allowed 11 hits and five earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Bummer threw 2.1 scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Royals before that. Atlanta has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 468 runs with a .241 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Sean Murphy has added 16 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-2 with a 5.68 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games at Truist Park.
- The Marlins have won each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games at Truist Park against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 road games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Braves’ last 16 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against National League opponents.
Marlins vs Braves Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing their last series, but Miami has played much better over the last few weeks. The Marlins are 28-26 on the road this year, while the Braves are 26-29 at home. Atlanta has struggled offensively pretty much all season and they will face Perez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. The Marlins will go against Carrasco, who has allowed 3, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings, which has been across 12.1 innings. I think Miami has all of the momentum and a big advantage on the mound, so give me the Marlins to win.