Marlins vs Braves Prediction 8/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 5th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 58-56 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-4 on Tuesday night. Miami trailed for most of the game, but did score two runs in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Marlins recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Jimenez, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Gusto allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while King allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won three out of four against the Mets and all three against the Phillies. 

This season, Miami has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 498 runs with a .250 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 51 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 12 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 5-8 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 68-45 this season after they won game one by a score of 4-2 last night. Atlanta scored once in the second inning, twice in the seventh, and once in the eighth for the win. The Braves recorded seven hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Riley, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the game. Holmes allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Dodd picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Atlanta swept the Nationals in four games, but lost two out of three against the Mets before that. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 553 runs with a .249 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 31 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 7-6 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 119.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last seven games at Truist Park.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last three road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last six games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the last eight games between the Marlins and Braves at Truist Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Marlins’ last eight road games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Elder has recorded six strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 19 games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Lane Thomas has hit a home run in eight of his last nine home appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
• Matt Olson ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.544) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Griffin Conine has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Eury Perez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six night games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.323) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (152).
• The Braves rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.418).
• The Marlins are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
• The Marlins rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (863).

Marlins vs Braves Prediction

Atlanta extended their winning streak with another win on Tuesday night and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four straight games. The Braves are 37-20 at home this year, while the Marlins are 24-33 on the road. Miami has won three of their last four games, but they have scored two runs in three of their last five. The Marlins are starting Perez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Elder has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5