Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction 4/24/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 24th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 13-11 this year, and they have split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-8 and 8-5. In the game two win, the Mariners scored the first four runs in the game, and they added four more in the sixth/seventh innings to seal the win. Seattle recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Crawford, who went 2-4 with one home run, four RBIs, and one walk in the win. Seattle started Hancock, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Legumina allowed two hits and three earned runs in the eighth. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Reds. Seattle has won three of their last four games, and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 109 runs with a .228 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with nine home runs and 16 RBIs, while Randy Arozarena has added four home runs and 17 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 26.0 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 14-12 this season after they lost game two in this series by a score of 8-5. Boston cut the deficit from 4-0 to 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they allowed the next four runs in the game for the loss. The Red Sox recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Casas, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Boston started Newcomb, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings in the loss, while Winckowski allowed four hits and two earned runs over 3.0 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won three out of four against the White Sox and two out of three against the Rays. Boston has won six of their last eight games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 121 runs with a .247 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with four home runs and 19 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added five home runs and 15 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 2-1 with a 1.13 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 32.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Mariners 

• The Mariners have lost each of their last 10 road games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last four day games against the Mariners following a home loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Mariners following a loss.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in 12 of their last 16 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight games.

Why the Mariners will beat the Red Sox 

• The Mariners have won 11 of their last 12 day games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games at Fenway Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the last 12 games between the Mariners and Red Sox at Fenway Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mariners’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four home games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Fenway Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last nine games at Fenway Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in 13 of the Red Sox’s last 14 games as favorites against the Mariners.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances at Fenway Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four day games.
• Victor Robles has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Dylan Moore has recorded a Single in each of the Mariners’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction 

Both of these teams have won one game so far in this series, so they will be looking for the series win here. Boston is 8-5 at home this year, while Seattle is 5-6 on the road. The Red Sox offense has been pretty inconsistent through 26 games this year, but they have scored 13 runs in this series and will be facing Woo, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his four starts this year. Seattle’s offense has been red hot over the last two weeks, but they will be going against Crochet, who has allowed a total of two earned runs over his last four starts. Take the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5