Seattle (68-56) vs New York (65-58)
August 17, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17th at BB&T Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 68-56 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 11-9 and 1-3. In their game two loss, Seattle failed to score in the first eight innings, but they did score in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Mariners recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Suarez, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Seattle started Woo, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Ferguson allowed two earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did sweep the Rays in three games before that. Seattle has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 566 runs with a .243 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 46 home runs and 100 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added 24 home runs and 69 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 8-5 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 65-58 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-1 on Saturday afternoon. New York led 1-0 in the third inning and they added two insurance runs in the seventh for the victory. The Mets recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lindor, Soto, and Alonso, who all had one RBI in the win. New York started McLean, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Diaz picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Braves and all three against the Brewers. New York has lost 10 of their last 12 games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 547 runs with a .242 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 28 home runs and 100 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 30 home runs and 71 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 9-6 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 126.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Mariners will beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have won each of their last five games against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six night games following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Mariners’ last nine games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Mets’ last 14 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mariners’ last seven night games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded two or more hits in each of the Mets’ last four games against the Mariners.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Mariners as favorites.
- Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
- George Kirby has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances with the Mariners as favorites.
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Mariners vs Mets Prediction
New York was able to stop the bleeding with a win on Saturday afternoon, but they really need a series win here to pick up some momentum. The Mets are five games back of the Phillies right now and they are starting Holmes, who has had some recent struggles. The Mariners are starting Kirby, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. I think Seattle has the better starter in this game and I like them to get the win.