Los Angeles (56-38) vs San Francisco (51-43)
July 11, 2025 at 10:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco -1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 11, at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (56-38, 23-21 Away) suffered back-to-back sweeps for the first time this season after losing to the Houston Astros and Milwaukee Brewers. The Dodgers had a 2-1 lead entering the bottom 9th inning in Game 3 against Milwaukee, but lost 3-2 in extra innings. Tyler Glasnow pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run (not earned) on two hits with five strikeouts and three walks. Kirby Yates took the loss.
This season, the Dodgers average 5.36 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .257/.333/.447 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 4.32 ERA (23rd) and 1.32 WHIP (21st). Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with a .279 batting average, 31 home runs, and 58 RBI this season.
Dustin May will take the mound for the Dodgers on Friday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 5-5 record in 16 starts this year with a 4.52 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 89.2 innings.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants (51-43, 27-18 Home) bounced back from three consecutive series losses with wins over the Athletics and Philadelphia Phillies. The Giants were on a four-game winning streak before suffering a massive 13-0 defeat in Game 3 against the Phillies. San Francisco had just four hits opposite Philly’s 17 in that game. Justin Verlander took the loss after allowing four runs (two earned) on seven hits with seven strikeouts and no walks in 6.0 innings.
This year, the Giants average 4.13 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .231/.311/.371 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Giants’ staff has a 3.49 ERA (4th) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Wilmer Flores leads the Giants with a .248 batting average, 11 home runs, and 55 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Giants is Logan Webb, who is 8-6 in 19 starts this season, with a 2.62 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 120.1 innings.
Why the Giants will beat the Dodgers
The Dodgers have lost each of their last 11 games as underdogs following an extra-innings loss.
The Giants have won four of their last five games.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
The Giants have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Dodgers following a loss.
The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Giants have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
Five of the last six games between the Dodgers and Giants at Oracle Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Dodgers’ last five games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine night games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last six Friday games.
Matchup/League Facts
The Giants rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
The Giants rank 27th in the league for steals this season (45).
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (486).
The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
Dodgers vs Giants Prediction
The Dodgers won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four, while this season, the Dodgers lead 2-1. I am backing the Giants to open this series with a win and exploit Los Angeles’s bad form. Logan Webb is surely in better form than Dustin May this year; Webb allowed more than two runs just once in his previous seven starts. He faced the Dodgers this season and allowed two runs in 7.0 innings in a win. May, on the other hand, surrendered multiple runs in each of his last seven starts and is coming from a weak month, posting a 5.67 ERA in June. The Dodgers will have to bounce back and return to winning ways eventually, but that is not going to happen on Friday. Go with Frisco.