| MATCHUP | Los Angeles Dodgers | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 43-25 | 35-33 |
| Spread | -1.5 100 | +1.5 -120 |
| Moneyline | -163 | +135 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (101) | Under 9.5 (-121) |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Thursday, June 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 43-25 on the year and play the Rays and White Sox next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .264 on the season and have a .345 OBP and a .444 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 72 hits and 39 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Andy Pages have combined for 142 hits and 92 RBI.
Justin Wrobleski gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 7-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. This will be Wrobleski’s second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 35-33 on the year and play the Marlins and Athletics next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .253 on the season and have a .335 OBP and a .402 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 69 hits and 31 RBIs, while Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have combined for 130 hits and 84 RBIs.
Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 5-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Keller is 2-3 with a 6.59 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Dodgers and Pirates.
- The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Dodgers.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last six road games following a loss.
- The Pirates have lost each of their last four night games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last three road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last seven home games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Dodgers’ last six games as favorites against the Pirates have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of Mitch Keller’s six previous appearances as a starter against the Dodgers.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Dodgers’ last six games as favorites.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against the Dodgers.
- Jared Triolo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at PNC Park.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in two of the Dodgers’ last three games as favorites.
- Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Justin Wrobleski ranks T7th in the league for Wins (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 4th in the league for hits this season (592).
- The Pirates rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.345).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.209).
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I love looking for chances to fade the Dodgers and these inflated lines, but I can’t do it here. Wrobleski has been an all-star with a 2.62 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, and he’s allowed 7 hits and 1 run in his last 13 innings. In 35 road innings, Wrobleski has a 2.31 ERA. Keller has been solid overall, but he’s allowed 17 hits and 13 runs in his last 8.2 innings. Usually, pitchers don’t settle in against this Dodgers lineup. The price isn’t out of control. I have to side with the Dodgers on Thursday.