Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/5/25 MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet on Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will trot out Roki Sasaki for the start here. Sasaki is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Sasaki’s first career start against the Phillies. Aaron Nola will start this game for Philadelphia and is 0-1 with an 8.44 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Nola is 1-2 with a 5.70 ERA and 34 strikeouts.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be out to bounce back after a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Phillies in the series opener to fall to 8-1 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road again for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Dodgers Take First Loss Of The Season

Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 11 hits, including 3 home runs, while Tommy Edman has 10 hits with a team-high 5 home runs and 9 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 7 hits with 4 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 8 hits with 2 home runs, 2 doubles, and 8 RBIS as well this season. Ohtani and Hernandez each have a team-high 2 stolen bases, while Andy Pages and Max Muncy share the team lead with 12 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 3 home runs and 6 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six day games against the Dodgers following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games at Citizens Bank Park following a win.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 11 appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 17 games as favorites.
• Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
• Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Esteury Ruiz has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their series-opening triumph over the Dodgers last time out to improve to 6-1 on the year. After this series with L.A., the Phillies will head on the road for a division series against the rival Atlanta Braves.

Phillies Win 4th In A Row

Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 8 hits, including a team-high 4 home runs and 8 RBIs, with a .286 batting average, while Edmundo Sosa has a team-high 9 hits with 4 doubles, while Bryson Stott and Max Kepler each have a pair of doubles as well this season. J.T. Realmuto and Trea Turner each have a pair of stolen bases as well this season, while Bryce Harper, Realmuto, and Brandon Marsh each have a team-high 7 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine home games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against former teams.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five day games.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Phillies’ last seven home games against NL West opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine home appearances against former teams.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded a Single in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 22 appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (4) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last six home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Dodgers’ last 10 road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m with the over here. I have not liked what I’ve seen from Sasaki early on this year, and it’s clear that the transition from Japan to the majors has been rough as he was seen with tears in his eyes after a rough crowd reaction in his last start and facing a Phillies team that’s crushing righties right now in a hostile environment on the road may not help things. On the other side, Nola is a pitcher that constantly gets high praise as an ace-level pitcher, but always seems to get hit hard by above-average teams and gives up a lot of hard hits, and I think the Dodgers can get to him as they have many times before in this head-to-head spot. Give me the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 9