| MATCHUP | Los Angeles Dodgers | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 66-38 | 43-61 |
| Spread | -1.5 103 | +1.5 -124 |
| Moneyline | -167 | +137 |
| Total | Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Saturday, July 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 66-38 on the year and play the Red Sox and Mariners next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .260 on the season and have a .341 OBP and a .433 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 112 hits and 51 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 211 hits and 129 RBI.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 10-6 with a 2.78 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. Yamamoto is 0-0 with a 2.63 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 43-61 on the year and play the Marlins and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .233 on the season, have a .303 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 103 hits and 51 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 181 hits and 92 RBI.
Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s second career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The home team has won four of the last five games between the Dodgers and Mets.
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last five Saturday night games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Citi Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 13 games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line each of their last seven games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Dodgers’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s last five appearances as a starter.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Alvarez has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
- Jared Young has recorded two or more hits in each of his last three appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- Nolan McLean has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 11 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction
McLean has held his own through 113.1 innings, but he pitches for the Mets. As I’ve said for much of the season, I’m not excited to back the Mets. This team is awful. Yamamoto has been money this season with a 2.78 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Yamamoto has been sharper on the road through 56.1 innings, where he has a 2.24 ERA and a .182 allowed batting average. I’m always looking for chances to fade the Dodgers and these inflated prices, but this isn’t one of those spots. Give me the Dodgers.