Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction 7/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Apr 15, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; New York Mets outfielder Carson Benge (3) attempts to catch a home run by Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Kyle Tucker (not pictured in the eighth inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
Team Records
65-38
43-60
Spread
-1.5 119
+1.5 -143
Moneyline
-136
+113
Total
Over 9 (-112)
Under 9 (-108)
Where
Citi Field, Queens, New York
When
Friday, July 24, 2026
Time
07:10 PM EDT
TV
ESPN Unlmtd
The Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Roki Sasaki for the start here and Sasaki is 3-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Sean Manaea will get the start for the Mets and is 2-5 with a 4.74 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to build on their 9-5 win over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out to sit at 65-38 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will head home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.
Dodgers Win Back-To-Back Games
Andy Pages has 105 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs and 68 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 58 hits with 9 doubles, 8 home runs and 37 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 102 hits with 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 60 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 109 hits with 25 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 51 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 82 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 82 hits with 18 doubles, 7 home runs and 48 RBIs this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 43-60 this season. After this series, the Mets will take on the Atlanta Braves in a series at home.
Mets Alternate Wins & Losses In 7 Straight
Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 68 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 64 hits with 8 doubles, 10 home runs and 30 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 103 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 51 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 57 hits with 7 doubles and 11 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 98 hits with 13 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 40 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets Betting Trends: July 24, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea Record this season: 2-5 ERA: 4.74
Home Record: 1-1
Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-1
Why the New York Mets will win
The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Mets have won six of their last nine games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs.
The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Roki Sasaki Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 4.98
Road Record: 2-3
Last 5 against Mets: –
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
The Dodgers have won 11 of their last 12 games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
The Mets have lost each of their last five home games against NL West opponents.
The Dodgers have covered the run line each of their last six games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Seven of the Mets’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Dodgers’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games against NL West opponents.
Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games.
Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
Roki Sasaki has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
Max Muncy has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (128).
The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (128).
The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. I don’t trust either starter here as Sasaki for my money is one of the weakest links in the Dodgers’ starting rotation, and Manaea’s in a tough spot against a Dodger batting order that’s increased their play against lefties in recent weeks. All in all, I think the over is in play in a high-scoring affair so give me the over here.
