| MATCHUP | Los Angeles Dodgers | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 21-13 | 14-21 |
| Spread | -1.5 -131 | +1.5 109 |
| Moneyline | -207 | +169 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-119) | Under 8.5 (-101) |
| Where | Daikin Park, Houston, Texas | |
| When | Monday, May 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 21-13 on the year and play the Giants and Braves next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting. 271 on the season and have a .350 OBP, and a .440 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Andy Pages leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 39 hits and 27 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy have combined for 68 hits and 29 RBI.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. This will be Yamamoto’s first career game against the Houston Astros.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 14-21 on the year and play the Mariners and Reds next. The Houston Astros are batting. 269 on the season, have a .348 OBP, and have a .440 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 5.75 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 43 hits and 27 RBI while Carlos Correa and Christian Walker have combined for 74 hits and 42 RBI.
Steven Okert gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 0-0 with a 4.20 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. Okert is 1-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last seven games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games at Daikin Park against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Astros have lost each of their last seven home games after going to extra innings.
- The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games after going to extra innings.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Dodgers and Astros.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last six home games has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Dodgers’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Astros’ last 13 night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Dodgers’ last 12 night games against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Dodgers.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 15 games at Daikin Park.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Tucker has hit at least one home run in six of his last seven appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (187).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (201).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (112).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.271).
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros Prediction
I don’t love the Dodgers in the big favorite role, but they’re the better team here and they have Yamamoto on the mound. Through 37.2 innings, Yamamoto has a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. The Astros’ pitching remains horrendous and the last lineup you want to face is the Dodgers when things aren’t going well. I’m rolling with the Dodgers and of course I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.