Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

11 months ago

Arizona Diamondbacks (21-19) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (26-14)

Game Info: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 4:10 pm (Chase Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -112 / Los Angeles Dodgers -108 — Over/Under: 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Tony Gonsolin for the start here, and Gonsolin is 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Arizona, Gonsolin is 4-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 32 strikeouts. Zac Gallen will get the start for Arizona here, and Gallen is 3-4 with a 4.37 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Gallen is 0-2 with a 6.67 ERA and 34 strikeouts.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at the hands of the Diamondbacks on Saturday to fall to 26-14 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head home for an interleague series against the Athletics.

Dodgers Looking For Consistency To Earn Series Split

Shohei Ohtani has 46 hits, including 8 doubles, 12 home runs, 20 RBIs, and 4 triples, while Tommy Edman has 28 hits with 8 home runs and 24 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 16 hits with 4 doubles, while Teoscar Hernandez has 41 hits with 9 home runs, 10 doubles, and 34 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 10 stolen bases, while Max Muncy has 7 doubles but also has 43 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 5 home runs and 23 RBIs on the year.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
The Dodgers have won each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Dodgers following a home win.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games against NL West opponents.
Tony Gonsolin has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks.
Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Dodgers’ last five day games.
Tony Gonsolin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against the Diamondbacks.
Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in five of the Dodgers’ last six games.
Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Shohei Ohtani ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be out to build on their win over the Dodgers from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 21-19 on the year. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Diamondbacks Alternate Wins & Losses In Each Of Their Last 8 Games

Corbin Carroll has a team-high 47 hits with 11 home runs, 28 RBIs, 5 triples, and 8 doubles, while Josh Naylor has 43 hits with 10 doubles, 4 home runs, and 23 RBIs as well this season. Eugenio Suarez has also added 12 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Geraldo Perdomo has 30 RBIs. Naylor has also chipped in 6 stolen bases as well up to this point in the year, while Carroll has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Diamondbacks with 47 strikeouts so far this season. Carroll also has 5 stolen bases, and Perdomo has a team-high 9 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 10 Sunday day games against NL West opponents.
The Dodgers have lost six of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games against NL West opponents.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Sunday day road games against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with the Diamondbacks as home favorites against NL West opponents.
Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Dodgers.
Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Ketel Marte has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against NL West opponents.
Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against the Dodgers.
Jake McCarthy has recorded a Double in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Eugenio Suarez ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.