Los Angeles (61-44) vs Boston (56-50)
July 27, 2025 at 01:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston +1.5 — Over/Under: +10.5
In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27, at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (61-44, 26-23 Away) were swept by the Milwaukee Brewers at home to start the second half, but responded with a win over the Minnesota Twins. The Dodgers opened this series in Boston with a 5-2 win, but lost Game 2 on Saturday, 4-2. Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez hit a solo homer apiece, while Clayton Kershaw took the loss after allowing four runs on six hits with two strikeouts and two walks in 4.2 innings.
This season, the Dodgers average 5.27 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .255/.329/.444 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 4.26 ERA (23rd) and 1.32 WHIP (24th). Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with a .273 batting average, 38 home runs, and 71 RBI this season.
Dustin May will take the mound for the Dodgers on Sunday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 6-6 record in 17 starts this year with a 4.73 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 99.0 innings.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox (56-50, 33-21 Away) returned home after losing back-to-back series to the Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies. The Red Sox have a chance to win this series against the Dodgers after last night’s 4-2 victory. Jarren Duran led the offense with two RBI, while Garrett Crocher got the win after allowing two runs on eight hits with ten strikeouts and two walks across 6.0 innings of work.
This year, the Red Sox average 4.87 runs per game (5th in the MLB) on a .252/.322/.427 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.78 ERA (10th) and 1.29 WHIP (19th). Trevor Story leads the Red Sox with a .250 batting average, 15 home runs, and 60 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox is Walker Buehler, who is 6-6 in 17 starts this season, with a 5.72 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 85.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Dodgers’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Red Sox’s last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Dodgers’ last six road games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (961).
- The Red Sox are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (533).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (377).
Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction
The Dodgers won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last six. Even though Game 1 and Game 2 went Under, I am going with Over in this one because seven of the past ten H2Hs went Over, and there is a pitching matchup. Dustin May and Walker Buehler are having the worst seasons in their respective careers, and we can say that both are struggling. May allowed multiple runs in each of his last eight starts, and I am pretty sure the Red Sox will not have problems scoring a few runs early on. Buehler, on the other hand, did improve in July after a disastrous June, but he did surrender multiple runs in nine of his previous ten starts. This will be his first start against his former team, and I don’t think he will have a great time. Go wth Over.