LA Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 6/28/24

In this article we will formulate a LA Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 28th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Dodgers recent form and recent player performance 
• The Giants recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Los Angeles
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco
• Recent betting trends in games played between Los Angeles and San Francisco
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Los Angeles and San Francisco

Dodgers Pitching Has Been Great 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 51-31 this year and they have won four games in a row. Los Angeles is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won all three games by scores of 3-0, 4-3, and 4-0. Prior to that series, the Dodgers split two games with the Angels, won three out of four against the Rockies, and won two out of three against the Royals. Los Angeles is 8-2 in their last ten games and they are leading the NL West. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .214 opponent batting average. The Dodgers offense has scored 409 runs with a .255 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Freddie Freeman is batting .299 with 12 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Dodgers this season. Los Angeles has allowed three runs or fewer in six straight games. 

Giants are Falling in the NL West 

The San Francisco Giants are 39-43 this season and they have lost six of their last nine games. San Francisco is coming off of a series win against the Cubs, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Giants were swept by the Cardinals, lost two out of three against the Cubs, and lost two out of three against the Angels. San Francisco is 5-8 in their last 13 games and they are fourth in the NL West. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 358 runs with a .244 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Jorge Soler is batting .222 with nine home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco has allowed at least five runs in eight of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Landon Knack, who is 1-1 with a 2.10 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 25.2 innings pitched this year. Knack has allowed two earned runs or fewer in his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Logan Webb, who is 6-6 with a 3.16 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 105.1 innings pitched this season. Webb has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Dodgers will beat the Giants

• The Giants have lost each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have won each of their last four games.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Dodgers’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Giants’ last five home games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last five road games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last four games.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Jorge Soler has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Dodgers.
• Logan Webb has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Logan Webb has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Chapman has scored at least one run in seven of the Giants’ last eight games against NL opponents.
• Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Michael Conforto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Casey Schmitt has hit a home run in each of the Giants’ last two home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Ahmed has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances at Oracle Park against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in five of the Dodgers’ last six games.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Dodgers’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last six road games against NL opponents.
• Mookie Betts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
• Miguel Vargas has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
• Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.643) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The San Francisco Giants rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (725).
• The San Francisco Giants rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.45).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (575).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (289).

LA Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

The Dodgers come into this series playing very well and their pitching staff has been one of the best in baseball this year. LA is 26-15 on the road, while San Francisco is 23-18 at home this season. The Giants have had major issues with their pitching so far this year and they are 25th in the MLB in team ERA. Logan Webb hasn’t been great in recent outings and he faces a very tough LA lineup here. On the other side, Landon Knack hasn’t pitched very much for the Dodgers, but he has been very good in limited work. My LA Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Dodgers to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Dodgers ML