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LA Angels vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 9/11/24

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Minnesota Twins (77-68) vs LA Angels (60-85)

September 11, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -200 / LA Angels +165 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article we will formulate a LA Angels vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 11th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Angels’ recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Twins’ recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving LA
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota
  • Recent betting trends in games played between LA and Minnesota
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between LA and Minnesota

LA Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 60-85 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Los Angeles won game one in this series by a score of 6-2 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Angels lost three out of four against the Rangers, split two games with the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Los Angeles is 5-5 in their last ten games and they are last in the AL West. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 572 runs with a .229 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage. Zach Neto is batting .258 with 21 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Angels this season.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 77-68 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Minnesota won game two in this series by a score of 10-5 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Twins lost all three against the Royals, split four games with the Rays, and won two out of three against the Blue Jays. Minnesota is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Twins’ offense has scored 680 runs with a .249 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .238 with 21 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Jack Kochanowicz, who is 2-4 with a 4.89 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this year. Kochanowicz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this season. Matthews has allowed 13 earned runs in his last two starts (7.0 IP). 

Why the Angels will beat the Twins

  • The Angels have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Twins following a road loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last three games as home favorites following a win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Angels at Target Field following a home win.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 road games against the Twins following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Three of the Angels’ last four games have gone OVER the total run line.
  • Three of the last four games between the Angels and Twins have gone OVER the total runs line.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances against the Angels after playing the previous day.
  • Willi Castro has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances against the Angels.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Twins as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Kyle Farmer has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Farmer has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last four games against the Angels.
  • Manuel Margot has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Zach Neto has recorded a Double in each of the Angels’ last three road games against AL opponents.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels’ last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mike Trout has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Taylor Ward has scored at least one run in eight of the Angels’ last nine games.
  • Mike Trout has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Twins at Target Field.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Angels as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Angels as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins rank 28th in the league for steals this season (63).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (1309).
  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (206).
  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.229).

LA Angels vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

Minnesota was able to pick up a much-needed win on Tuesday night, but they have struggled over the last couple of weeks and are in danger of missing the playoffs. Minnesota is 40-31 at home, while LA is 30-43 on the road. The Angels have been a scrappy team over their last 10 games and Kochanowicz has been serviceable as a starter. Minnesota is turning to Zebby Matthews, who has been roughed up in his last two outings, and the Twins are 0-4 in his last four starts. Take the Angels on the road here. 

David Racey's Pick: Angels ML

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